Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.002332 0.002473 0.002623 0.002795 0.002988 0.003199 0.003450
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002098 0.002289 0.002502 0.002762 0.003073 0.003440 0.003914
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001965 0.002190 0.002454 0.002789 0.003216 0.003754 0.004513
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001846 0.002092 0.002387 0.002779 0.003302 0.004001 0.005069
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001735 0.001991 0.002305 0.002735 0.003329 0.004166 0.005537
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001687 0.001961 0.002307 0.002794 0.003499 0.004555 0.006447
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001637 0.001924 0.002294 0.002831 0.003638 0.004916 0.007426
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001566 0.001854 0.002231 0.002788 0.003650 0.005071 0.008069
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001490 0.001773 0.002147 0.002707 0.003591 0.005093 0.008440
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001446 0.001732 0.002115 0.002700 0.003647 0.005327 0.009383
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001361 0.001632 0.001996 0.002553 0.003459 0.005077 0.009041
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001333 0.001607 0.001981 0.002563 0.003535 0.005345 0.010183
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001309 0.001590 0.001978 0.002594 0.003656 0.005741 0.012010
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001272 0.001553 0.001944 0.002574 0.003684 0.005952 0.013449
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001251 0.001537 0.001940 0.002602 0.003805 0.006400 0.016324
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001222 0.001508 0.001916 0.002595 0.003857 0.006702 0.019082
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001187 0.001469 0.001875 0.002556 0.003843 0.006833 0.021210
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001177 0.001467 0.001887 0.002609 0.004019 0.007529 0.029253
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001163 0.001457 0.001888 0.002641 0.004158 0.008178 0.041328
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001134 0.001423 0.001851 0.002604 0.004141 0.008339 0.049245
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001098 0.001380 0.001797 0.002532 0.004041 0.008206 0.051466
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001079 0.001360 0.001779 0.002525 0.004086 0.008583 0.071330
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001033 0.001300 0.001695 0.002394 0.003839 0.007882 0.053802